MLB Picks Against The Spread, Money Line, and Over/Under - SportsLine.com (2024)

There are plenty of ways to bet on baseball and plenty of sports betting terms to know when it comes to betting America's pastime. Every professional baseball team will play 162 regular season games, providing a wide range of baseball bets and MLB picks for you to consider. If you're new to the world of USA sports betting, you might find yourself overwhelmed by the sports betting terminology and number of sports betting sites available. Below are several baseball betting terms to help you make the best MLB picks this season.

Money line:

The money line is the simplest and most common type of bet in baseball betting. You’re betting on one team to win outright. If a favorite is -150 on the money line, a $150 bet on that team to win outright would return $100. Conversely, if a team is a +200 underdog, a $100 bet would return $200.

Run line:

The run line is a type of point spread bet in baseball. Instead of betting on which team will win the game, you bet on the margin of victory. One team is usually listed as a 1.5-run favorite. The other team is listed as a 1.5-run underdog, with corresponding odds attached to both MLB spreads.

Total (Over/Under):

The Over/Under, also referred to as the total, is how many combined runs teams are expected to score in a baseball game. If the Over/Under is set at 8.5, then any combined score lower than that would make the Under cash. Nine or more runs is a win for the Over in your MLB picks.

Futures:

Futures are long-term bets that won't resolve on the day they are placed. They are often placed preseason or in-season, and a popular baseball futures bet is picking which team will win the championship. Another is using the Over/Under, except in regards to a team's end-of-season win total. For example, the bar for the number of wins for New York’s pro baseball team could be 81.5, and a baseball futures bet is predicting if it will exceed that number.

Parlay:

Parlays are simply the selection of two or more baseball picks on a single wager, where all outcomes must be correct in order for the bet to win. Although risky, parlays remain popular because of the potential to win large sums with minimal investments.

Prop (or proposition) bet:

If you are looking for a fun way to bet on baseball, a prop bet is right for you. With a prop bet, you can wager on MLB picks like how many strikeouts a pitcher will record or whether a player will hit a home run.

First five innings (F5):

A popular bet in baseball, first five innings (F5) is a wager on which team will be winning when five innings have been completed.

Team totals:

The total, or Over/Under, usually refers to how many combined runs both teams score in a game, but team totals are popular as well. These are the MLB picks where a bettor will pick Over or Under on how many runs one team scores. If New York’s team total is set at 4.5, any runs total of five or higher would cash the Over, while anything fewer than five results in a win for the Under.

NRFI (No Runs First Inning):

A popular bet for those who wager on baseball, NRFI stands for 'No Run First Inning.' The bet can be a bit risky considering both teams generally stack their best hitters towards the top of their lineups. The odds on NRFI bets are variable mostly depending on the quality of pitchers.

Player strikeouts:

This bet refers to how many times a player will strike out in a single game. The Over/Under for total strikeouts is often 0.5 with adjusted odds for both wagers.

To hit a home run:

If you think a player will hit a home run at any point in the game, you can place a bet, often times for a plus-money payout. You can also bet on who hits the first home run of the game.

To record a hit:

Every player is assigned a total for hits in a single game, with bettors placing wagers on if they’ll exceed or fall short of the assigned total. For instance, if you place a bet on a player to record Over 1.5 hits, that player will need to finish with two hits for the bet to be a winner. If the player records just one hit, the bet is a loser.

Total bases:

Another popular batter props bet is total bases. Bases are awarded on hits only, with the following scoring system: Single = 1 base, Double = 2 bases, Triple = 3 bases and Home Run = 4 bases.

To record an RBI:

RBI stands for ‘Run Batted In.” Sportsbooks will offer an Over/Under on how many RBI a player will record in a single game.

1st inning total runs:

An Over/Under is set on how many runs will be scored in the first inning. Oftentimes, Sportsbooks set the Over/Under for total runs scored in the first inning at 0.5 or 1.5.

Correct score:

Correct score betting involves predicting the final score of a baseball game. These bets are typically hard to predict, which is why they’re often listed at plus-money odds. You can also predict the exact score of each inning at most sportsbooks.

Player performance doubles:

This bet is similar to a parlay, meaning it involves two or more wagers. Player performance doubles often feature over/under starting pitcher strikeouts and a money line pick on which team will win outright.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Can I bet on a baseball game after it has begun?A: Yes, most sportsbooks offer live-betting, meaning you can place wagers on live-updated totals or even the outcome of the next at-bat.

Q: What happens if a baseball game is postponed?A: It will vary by sportsbook, but most will void and refund unless the game is rescheduled within a certain timeframe.

Q: What is a push in baseball sports betting?A: A push means the point spread or point total hits the exact number in which you bet. For example, if the Over/Under is eight runs, and the game finishes 5-3, the bet is a push and will be refunded.

Q: How do I know which team is the favorite?A: The favorite is usually listed with a negative number, while the underdog is listed with a positive number. For instance, if New York is favored to beat Boston, New York will be listed at -135 (risk $135 to win $100). As the underdog, Boston would be listed at +175 (risk $100 to $175).

MLB Picks Against The Spread, Money Line, and Over/Under - SportsLine.com (2024)

FAQs

How often do moneyline favorites win in MLB? ›

Last Five Year's Results. At first glance betting on favorites looks great, as they have won the game 57.5% of the time.

How to bet on major league baseball? ›

Betting on an MLB game. There are three basic types of bets you can place on an MLB game: the moneyline, the run line and the total (which is also called the over/under). These bet types are very similar to the same bets in other team sports like NFL and NBA, but there are some important differences.

What is the moneyline bet in the MLB? ›

MLB Moneylines

This is a straightforward bet on which team will win the game outright, with no point adjustments.

Can you bet the spread in baseball? ›

To place a baseball spread bet, look at the Spreadex prediction or spread on the market in question. If you think the outcome will be higher than our price, then you would buy on the spread. If you think the outcome will be lower than our price, then you would sell on the spread.

Do most MLB games go over or under? ›

Totals Since 2005
SportO/U RecordUnder Win %
NHL9705-10207-162051.3%
MLB19486-20091-197050.8%
NCAAF6537-6745-17150.8%
NCAAB30969-31288-77350.3%
2 more rows
Jul 11, 2022

Do you win more on moneyline or spread? ›

As a result, the potential payouts can be vastly different. If you are betting on a sizable favorite, betting on the spread will offer a higher payout. But if you are betting on an underdog, betting on the moneyline will offer a higher payout.

What is the most common bet in baseball? ›

There are two main types of basic bets in baseball: the money line and the total. We'll start with a money line because it's the most common bet. With a money line bet, you simply choose the team you think will win the game.

What is statistically the best sport to bet on? ›

Best Sports for Totals Betting (Over/Under)
  • College Football (92.97% OPT. ROI SCORE)
  • NFL (46.2% OPT. ROI SCORE)
  • College Basketball (33.96% OPT. ROI SCORE)
  • NHL (13.97% OPT. ROI SCORE)
  • NBA (10.82% OPT. ROI SCORE)
  • MLB (10.09% OPT. ROI SCORE)

How do you bet on baseball like a pro? ›

MLB Betting Tips and Strategies
  1. Use Plus-Money Underdogs to Your Advantage. MLB betting on plus-money underdogs – for example, a team with odds of +140 rather than the favorites – is usually a more profitable but riskier strategy. ...
  2. Avoid Popular MLB Picks. ...
  3. Go Against the Field. ...
  4. Keep Track of the Weather. ...
  5. Consider the Umpires.
Jan 16, 2024

What is the moneyline on a $100 bet? ›

What happens if you bet $100 on a moneyline? If you bet $100 on a moneyline, you might win some money or lose your wager. If the odds for your moneyline bet were +100, you would profit $100 if the team you backed won. If they lose, you are out $100.

Who is favored on Moneyline? ›

The “favorite” in a game, tournament or event is the side viewed by the betting market as most likely to win. Moneyline favorites are almost always denoted with a minus sign (we'll explain the “almost” part later). Moneylines are typically shown in American odds and are based on a $100 wager.

How do you win on Moneyline? ›

The range between the numbers on both sides can help you quickly determine which games the sportsbook expects to be close or potential mismatches. For you to win a moneyline bet, the side that you choose has to come out on top. If your selection loses, then the bet itself also loses.

What happens if you bet $100 on a spread? ›

For instance, if Team A has odds of +200, this means if you bet $100 and Team A wins, your profit will be $200, and you'll receive a total payout of $300 (your initial $100 stake + $200 profit). Conversely, if Team B has odds of -200, you'd have to bet $200 to win $100.

How to read baseball money lines? ›

Baseball odds are expressed as 3-digit money line. All money lines are based on $100. The minus (-) on the electronic wagering display and wagering sheets next to the starting pitcher indicates the favorite. The plus (+) indicates the underdog.

How do you bet against the spread? ›

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

How often does the Moneyline favorite win? ›

Yes, betting the NFL moneyline can be profitable if you properly research your bets and carefully manage your money. How often does the moneyline favorite win in the NFL? Since 1985, NFL moneyline favorites have won 66.5 percent of the time.

Why bet a moneyline for a favorite? ›

The lower the probability of winning (and the higher the risk), the bigger the potential return is for the moneyline. If you bet $100 on a -130 moneyline favorite (lower risk), you could win $77 (plus your original $100 wager).

What are moneyline winning odds? ›

Moneyline Conversion: Betting Odds to Percentage Chart
FavoritesUnderdogs
Money LineWin %Win %
-20567.20%33.00%
-20066.70%33.00%
-19566.10%34.00%
58 more rows

How often do the best bettors win? ›

Professional sport bettors rarely sustain long-term winning percentage above 56% and sometimes the lowest win rate of 53 – 54 %. The break even winning percentage of a profitable sports bettor is typically 52.4%.

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